All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Valley Kickoff |
Harrier Invite |
Marion County |
Brebeuf Invitational |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Wildcat/Jackson Classic Invitational |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
XC Town Twilight |
North Central JV |
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/17 |
8/23 |
8/30 |
8/30 |
9/6 |
9/13 |
9/20 |
9/27 |
10/4 |
10/4 |
10/18 |
10/25 |
11/1 |
| Team Rating |
301 | |
1,062 |
307 |
398 |
1,192 |
282 |
319 |
958 |
356 |
341 |
999 |
286 |
351 |
372 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
301 |
307 |
398 |
301 |
282 |
319 |
301 |
356 |
341 |
301 |
286 |
351 |
372 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Valley Kickoff |
Harrier Invite |
Marion County |
Brebeuf Invitational |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Wildcat/Jackson Classic Invitational |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
XC Town Twilight |
North Central JV |
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 81 |
Natalie Vandesteene |
10 |
19:36 |
19:03 |
|
19:51 |
19:26 |
|
19:27 |
19:33 |
|
19:26 |
19:32 |
|
19:42 |
19:39 |
19:41 |
| 84 |
Makenna Bowling |
10 |
19:36 |
19:41 |
|
19:24 |
19:59 |
|
19:36 |
19:46 |
|
20:06 |
20:05 |
|
19:17 |
19:37 |
20:07 |
| 134 |
Kaitlyn Pettet |
12 |
20:01 |
19:52 |
|
20:36 |
20:39 |
|
20:27 |
20:21 |
|
20:25 |
20:17 |
|
20:31 |
19:50 |
20:09 |
| 184 |
Camryn Simons |
12 |
20:17 |
19:39 |
|
19:55 |
20:52 |
|
19:38 |
20:20 |
|
20:02 |
20:15 |
|
19:59 |
21:01 |
20:23 |
| 222 |
Addison Weatherford |
10 |
20:26 |
21:45 |
|
20:30 |
20:56 |
|
20:21 |
20:24 |
|
21:04 |
20:43 |
|
20:05 |
20:43 |
21:05 |
| 243 |
Corinne McDermott |
|
20:29 |
|
|
20:27 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 679 |
Vanessa Curtis |
11 |
21:57 |
|
22:03 |
22:00 |
|
21:55 |
21:39 |
22:04 |
21:44 |
22:07 |
22:00 |
21:55 |
21:52 |
|
22:04 |
| 740 |
McKenna VanVleet |
10 |
22:07 |
21:14 |
|
21:59 |
22:19 |
|
22:19 |
22:04 |
22:05 |
22:00 |
21:52 |
22:33 |
|
21:57 |
22:03 |
| 835 |
Natalie Curtis |
9 |
22:21 |
|
32:55 |
22:02 |
22:20 |
|
21:59 |
22:19 |
22:26 |
22:04 |
22:35 |
22:42 |
|
|
|
| 897 |
Ella Matlock |
11 |
22:29 |
21:36 |
22:25 |
21:44 |
22:36 |
|
22:04 |
21:59 |
22:23 |
22:45 |
23:21 |
22:13 |
22:46 |
|
|
| 915 |
Reese Coffey |
11 |
22:32 |
22:56 |
23:16 |
23:29 |
|
22:50 |
22:44 |
22:13 |
23:06 |
|
21:38 |
23:55 |
|
22:20 |
|
| 1,234 |
Emma Litvan |
11 |
23:19 |
22:39 |
|
23:13 |
|
23:19 |
23:46 |
23:43 |
|
22:28 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Scarlett Underwood |
10 |
23:33 |
|
24:23 |
23:58 |
|
23:15 |
23:15 |
23:36 |
23:20 |
24:26 |
|
23:04 |
|
|
|
|
Kate Brower |
11 |
24:08 |
|
23:32 |
|
|
25:05 |
23:55 |
25:04 |
23:34 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Macie Oden |
10 |
24:46 |
23:18 |
23:42 |
22:56 |
|
24:43 |
25:44 |
24:13 |
25:15 |
25:43 |
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
93.0% |
14.7 |
379 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
2.4 |
3.9 |
4.8 |
7.1 |
7.9 |
8.8 |
9.4 |
8.8 |
7.7 |
7.3 |
6.3 |
5.6 |
4.1 |
3.1 |
2.2 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
| Regionals |
100% |
3.4 |
140 |
6.1 |
17.6 |
32.8 |
23.4 |
13.1 |
6.1 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
35 |
98.8 |
1.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Natalie Vandesteene |
96.7% |
81.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
52.6% |
85.3% |
| Makenna Bowling |
96.2% |
81.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
46.3% |
84.8% |
| Kaitlyn Pettet |
93.0% |
125.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.9% |
29.2% |
| Camryn Simons |
93.0% |
159.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
7.2% |
| Addison Weatherford |
93.0% |
177.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
2.0% |
| Vanessa Curtis |
93.0% |
244.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| McKenna VanVleet |
93.0% |
246.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Natalie Vandesteene |
100% |
17.2 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
2.3 |
3.1 |
3.4 |
4.7 |
5.5 |
5.4 |
7.3 |
6.7 |
7.6 |
7.5 |
6.6 |
5.3 |
5.5 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Makenna Bowling |
100% |
17.3 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
2.3 |
3.1 |
3.9 |
4.7 |
4.9 |
6.4 |
6.5 |
6.3 |
6.8 |
7.6 |
5.7 |
5.9 |
6.1 |
4.1 |
3.8 |
3.5 |
2.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Kaitlyn Pettet |
100% |
30.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
3.8 |
3.4 |
4.1 |
4.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Camryn Simons |
100% |
43.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Addison Weatherford |
100% |
51.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Vanessa Curtis |
100% |
127.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| McKenna VanVleet |
100% |
135.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Natalie Vandesteene |
3.4 |
9.2 |
14.5 |
17.4 |
25.0 |
25.2 |
6.0 |
1.8 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Makenna Bowling |
3.4 |
7.9 |
13.9 |
18.0 |
28.2 |
24.1 |
5.6 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kaitlyn Pettet |
5.9 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
3.9 |
9.6 |
37.8 |
20.1 |
11.1 |
6.1 |
4.1 |
2.2 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Camryn Simons |
8.5 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
1.0 |
6.5 |
19.1 |
16.2 |
14.1 |
10.7 |
9.0 |
7.2 |
5.5 |
3.7 |
2.8 |
1.9 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
| Addison Weatherford |
10.6 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
6.5 |
11.1 |
12.2 |
11.3 |
11.4 |
10.4 |
9.5 |
8.0 |
5.7 |
4.6 |
3.2 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.0 |
| Vanessa Curtis |
32.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
| McKenna VanVleet |
34.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
|
